2007-2008 Girls BasketballWeek-8 PollA USA-365.com Special Report by Mark Smith(01-20-2008) |
MICHIGAN
CITY, IN - (01-20-2008) - Almost three months since
the start of preseason practice, we're
looking for teams that still have a lot of
energy left. There's only six undefeated teams left
statewide as of Jan. 15 as South Bend
Washington (17-1) got run over 73-60 by
Kentucky power Lexington Catholic (15-2). Lexington's Natalie Novosel, a Notre Dame
recruit, scored 32 points, while Washington's Skyler Diggins, who Notre Dame hopes will
attend there, scored a career-best 40 points
with 13 rebounds. Washington, which had won
43 games in a row, reportedly shot 17% from
the field. Washington didn't take the loss well. In their next game the Panthers horsewhipped
Chicago power Fenwick 105-64.
Defending 1A state champ Oregon-Davis (16-0) roared through the Bi-County Tournament and it looks like O-D and 2A defense champ Heritage Christian (17-0) will finish the regular season undefeated. HC, the two-time defending 2A state champ, plays at 4A power Carmel (14-2) Tuesday, Jan. 22. 3A No. 1 Twin Lakes (16-1) lost to 3A No. 10 Northwestern (16-0) 64-62 Thursday and Twin Lakes plays its last five games on the road so they may take another loss. It's hard to tell about undefeated 1A power Jac-Cen-Del (14-0), but I would guess they'll lose at Southwestern (13-4) on Jan. 24.
The first major win for a Northwest Indiana team against another Indiana big school power came Tuesday night (1-15-2008) when Michigan City won at South Bend Clay 65-55. When you look at regular season results, it's still very hard to see anyone from the six-county (Lake, Porter, LaPorte, Newton, Jasper, Starke) area we call Northwest Indiana other than Oregon-Davis even reaching the semistate level.
Washington (Sect. 3) and Memorial (14-4, Sect. 4) block NW Indiana's two 4A champs and unbeatens Twin Lakes or Northwestern (sectional 20 foes) and Sectional 19 favorite Plymouth (13-3) certainly stand in the way of this area's two 3A champs, whoever they end up being. The two local 2A champions (at Wheeler and at North Judson) have to deal with sectional rivals No. 3 Jimtown or No. 12 Westview (12-3) and Garrett (14-1) at the regional level. In 1A, Oregon-Davis reportedly is a significantly better team than they were last year when they won the state title. Anybody who thinks they have even an outside chance against them at the sectional or regional better be practicing 24-7.
The time between the final league tourneys and the state tourney draw is 'dead time' in high school basketball. The goal in late January is just to stay healthy. Pairings are announced Sunday night (6:00 p.m. - EST), Jan, 27 and the tournament begins on Feb. 4 just nine days later. Once that state draw is released, the end of the season starts to come at you in a hurry. Lets look at what each team wants in the draw next on the 27th.
1. (4A) Michigan City (15-4)
2007 (22-2) 2006 (14-11), 2005 (6-15), 2004
(6-16)
MICHIGAN CITY:
Michigan City stopped Clay 65-55 in a game
that gives them some post-season hope. Clay
(15-4) is in the northern part of the
state's toughest 4A sectional with Penn
(15-2) and Washington (15-1).
That backcourt of Takenya Nixon (19.6 ppg,
4.0 assists) and Bianca McGee (17.1 ppg, 46
3-point goals) keeps this team at the top. At the start of the year, I thought this
team was better than they were last season
when they were 22-2 and I still think so.
Nobody controls the pace against them and
they're young front line is gaining
experience. MC still has road games at
Portage (12-3) and Merrillville (12-4) and
they tend to have short attention spans
against DAC squads. They put a major
whipping on Crown Point 83-41 Friday.
I wouldn't be shocked to see MC lose one of
the last three because they really key up
for those South Bend power schools and tend
not to care about other foes.
WHAT DO THEY WANT? Hobart, LaPorte
or Valpo. A slower team. Not only so they
can maximize their speed, but so they don't
have three track meet sectional games in
five days. Michigan City is so happy to get
out of the same sectional with Washington. The Wolves would like anybody but
Merrillville.
2. (4A) MERRILLVILLE (13-4)
2007 (16-6), 2006 (19-3), 2005 (12-10), 2004
(12-8)
MERRILLVILLE: Merrillville survived slow-paced Hobart (8-4) by a 47-33 score. The Pirates are a mix of very experienced players like Britney Cruse (14.1 ppg.), Tierra Turner (15.5 ppg., 6.2 rebounds) and Britney Curry with very young players like sophomore Bryonna Davis and freshman Melanie Stubbs. Cruse (18), Turner (16) and Curry (16) banked 50 against LaPorte in a 74-32 mismatch on Jan. 11. It's all about the Jan. 25 game against Michigan City. The Pirates probably won't catch MC in the standings, but they played very well in beating MC 82-65 last month and if they can do it again by any score they'll be feeling good going into the post-season.
WHAT DO THEY WANT? Same as Michigan City. The new eight-team sectional two means everybody must play three games. You want a slow foe in the opener so you don't beat yourself up before the championship game. The Pirates don't want to draw Crown Point because they finish the season with CP and the girls might overlook that game. Truthfully, with Portage suffering injuries, Merrillville would like to draw anyone but Michigan City.
3. (4A) Gary West Side (12-3)
2007 (16-6), 2006 (16-7), 2005 (23-5), 2004
(22-3)
GARY: The Side
lost 68-63 to Clay (13-5) last week and it
was similar to an earlier loss to Benton
Central. The Cougars trailed 40-26 at
half-time, but a late rally led by Jasmine
Brown (15 points) and Antoinette Taylor (16
points) almost pulled out the win. The
Cougars are a little better shooting team
than they have been in the past. West Side
was 15 of 22 from the foul line.
The Cougars only play one style and they are
much better in full court defense than they
are in half court defense. One ominous
note. Marshall (13-6) beat West Side in Gary
and the Commandoes are NOT one of the top-10
teams in the Chicago area this year. West
Side plays like an inexperienced team which
is what they are.
But West Side is competitive in every game
and that's encouraging leading into a
sectional where they only have to defeat
Highland to advance. The Side plays the last
five on the road, including a Jan. 30 game at
St. Joseph's (10-6), which has won 10 in a
row.
WHO DO THEY WANT? Anybody but Highland.
West Side is the favorite in 4A Sectional
One, but they want Highland to play a
quarterfinal and a semifinal game before they face the 'Side'.
4. (4A) Portage (12-4)
2007 (16-9), 2006 (4-17), 2005 (4-17), 2004
(10-12)
PORTAGE: Portage has won
four in a row, but they drop in the poll
because they've lost 5-10 senior three-year
starter Gloria Hernandez (12.6 ppg, 8.9
rebounds) with a hand injury.
The reports are that she's out for the
season, but I would guess that other Class 4A
Sectional 2 coaches are not counting on
that. Basketball lore is loaded with stories
of seniors who put a few rolls of tape on
injuries and got out there in the
post-season. I do not know details of her
injury (schools don't talk about things like
that), but she's a tough payer, and she will
return for the playoffs if it is at all
possible.
Leading scorer Lisa Samplawski (19.1 ppg.) a
Division I player, reportedly also has leg
problems, but understand, teams and coaches
are not going to tell you the whole truth
about injuries. They aren't allowed to. I
think Portage has all hands on deck in the
playoffs.
Until then, however, Portage is a lesser
team. They lost by 10 to Chesterton Friday
and that's not a surprise without Hernandez. The Indians have Michigan City, Munster and
streaking Lake Central still to play. They
need that because the schedule hasn't been
strong to this point.
WHO DO THEY WANT? Crown Point.
Portage is 5-0 against CP in the last 2
years. All of the games have been decided by
nine points or more and the last game was a
30-point blowout. Portage has CP somewhat
intimidated.
If the Indians get another wish, its for
Merrillville to draw Michigan City.
5. (4A) Chesterton (8-8)
2007 (7-14), 2006 (16-8), 2005 (11-11), 2004
(14-8)
CHESTERTON: Anyone who
doesn't have Chesterton in their Top-10
hasn't seen them. Allowing 45 points a game
against the schedule they play
(Merrillville, Penn, St. Joseph's, Michigan
City twice) is a remarkable achievement. The Trojans have
defeated pretty much the teams they were
supposed to beat. They didn't have a major
victory until the 58-48 win over Portage
Friday and that wasn't a real upset because
Portage is crippled by injuries. The only losing team Chesterton has lost
to is LaPorte (7-9). The Trojans still have
Highland (14-2) to play, which just jacks
their strength-of-schedule a little higher.
This team offensively can be as painful to
watch as all-day election caucus coverage on
cable TV, but they'd be leading any other
conference in NW Indiana and they are just
an annoying team to run your offense
against.
WHAT DO THEY WANT? Anybody but Michigan
City and Merrillville. Chesterton hosts the
2A Sectional 2 eight-team marathon and
nobody really wants to draw the DAC's top
defensive team.
6. (4A) Valparaiso (9-8)
2007 (8-14), 2006 (13-8), 2005 (21-2), 2004
(23-3)
VALPARAISO: The Vikings are back over .500 after a 49-27 rout of LaPorte Friday, breaking a three-game losing streak. Valparaiso's final three games are against teams with losing records. At 6-foot-4, Stefanie Lang (11.0 points, 7.8 rebounds) creates problems other teams can't simulate, but the Viking girls have hit hard times from the foul line (just 16 of 28 against Portage) and a half court team must hit free throws because they don't get easy transition baskets. Valparaiso's game almost depends on the other teams' failures. They do not have enough offense to win on their own. They have to frustrate the other side as LaPorte can bear witness. I wouldn't swear Chesterton was better than Valparaiso, but they are more experienced.
WHAT DO THEY WANT? Anybody but Merrillville or Michigan City. The Vikings don't want a fresh, fast team in the post-season opener. Hobart, LaPorte or Chesterton would be a good draw. This team probably can't win the sectional, but they definitely have an upset in them.
7. (4A) Highland (15-2)
2007 (20-6) 2006 (12-11), 2005 (19-5), 2004
(17-6)
HIGHLAND: The Trojans wore
down arch-rival Munster 43-35 this week to
clinch first place in the Northwest
Crossroads Conference (NWCC). It was not a
game they'll brag about after Highland made
just 18 of 32 from the foul line and beat a
team that sank just 4-of-11.
Highland scored only 11 baskets in the game. Highland turned back Griffith 45-34, but
Griffith is 3A and a very young 3A. Highland
should beat Griffith this year.
Guard Lizzie Stapke (11.7 ppg., 3.6 assists)
is one of only two lead guards (Lauren
Hansen of Griffith is the other) in the
entire NWCC. The Trojans need next
weeks game against Chesterton so they get
work against a big, strong
defensive-oriented team. remember, Highland
plays a 3A schedule and then enters the 4A
playoffs
WHAT DO THEY WANT? Gary West Side.
Truthfully, if Highland is going to beat
West Side it will be immediately. They
probably won't go 3-0 at the sectional if the
third game is against their friends from
Gary.
8. (3A) Griffith (15-3)
2007 (15-7), 2006 (14-8), 2005 (15-8), 2004
(13-9)
GRIFFITH: The Panthers lost 45-34 to Highland (14-2), but they're too young to win that game. Griffith has their final three games at home and they, I'll say it again, they have done everything that could have realistically been expected of them. It's hard to rate their prospects in the post-season, because you have nothing to go on. They are all underclassmen. Oregon-Davis came in with a freshman class that was 78-0 from 6th to 8th grade and they won the state title. Griffith has an elite freshman class, but this is 3A. Having a lead guard like Lauren Hansen (8.5 points, 3.6 assists) has given them a chance. You can't go far without a true lead guard. It'll be interesting to watch them play a very fast, but very loose Hammond high (14-2) team on Jan. 22. The Panthers struggled past Lowell 45-37 Friday night, but Griffith vs. Lowell is always a struggle.
WHAT DO THEY WANT? Remember, even though they're 3A schools about 5 miles apart, Hammond and Griffith are not in the same sectional. The Panthers travel 50 miles to Rensselaer for sectional play. (How did this happen????) Most Griffith kids have never even been to Rensselaer unless grandma has a farm there. I'm not certain Calumet (13-5) is that much better than Andrean (5-13), so what Griffith really needs is a first round bye so they don't have to play a Tuesday night quarterfinal game in Jasper County.
9. (1A) Oregon-Davis (19-0)
2007 (25-3), 2006 (14-8), 2005 (11-11), 2004
(7-14)
HAMLET: Oregon-Davis smoked out Bremen to win the Bi-County Tournament and they headed for Chicago to face sub-.500 Dekalb in the Chicagoland Classic. The toughest thing about this season so far is that guard Gabi Minix (16 ppg.) is reportedly being recruited by Duke, Texas Tech and Purdue. The push for 21-0 is still alive and the Bobcats aren't the New England Patriots too, so they didn't even have to cheat to win their games. The Bobcats apparently received a call from Bowman Academy in Gary and they scheduled a game for Jan. 24. What I like about O-D is that they truly seem willing to play anyone. O-D has defeated 3A powers South Bend St. Joseph's (10-6) and Culver Academy (10-6) and 2A troublemaker North Judson (10-6). Bowman Academy is the only Lake County team to give them a call.
WHAT DO THEY WANT? The only winning team other than South Central (9-7) in the Oregon-Davis sectional is Argos (10-6), a team O-D has already crushed twice 86-35 and 70-31. I think the only thing O-D wants is not to get a bye so they can play three games in front of the home fans. There does not appear to be anyone who can play with Oregon-Davis at the sectional level and they probably don't want a bye which would give them more than a week off.
10. (3A) Hammond (14-2)
2007 (17-9), 2006 (15-8), 2005 (15-7), 2004
(8-12)
HAMMOND:
The Wildcats edged Morton 57-48 in a game
they should have won by more and they are
6-0 against Hammond schools.
Junior guard Sancheon White (12.9) and 5-9
senior rebounder Dalita Scott (13.5 ppg, 6.6
rebounds) are an excellent inside-outside
duo, but I'm still waiting for a quality win
here other than Highland. I still worry
about the shooting ability of this sqaud. They need to face zones and teams with
strong baselines so they don't win games by
simply following in their own missed shots.
WHAT DO THEY WANT? Gary Roosevelt. The only
other winning team in Sectional 17 is the
wildly overrated Roosevelt (10-7), which
truthfully has no option other than running
with Hammond, exactly what the Lady Cats
want. Hammond is the sectional host and they
want to play Roosevelt first, so they can
then easily mop up any of the other four
teams like spilled milk. You don't want
injuries or fatigue getting in the way of a
third consecutive sectional championship. They want Gary Roosevelt right away.
HEY, WHAT ABOUT US??????
(1A) Kouts (15-1)
2007 (20-3), 2006 (12-9), 2005 (12-9), 2004
(13-9)
KOUTS: I'd like to put Kouts into the Top-10, but I'd like the Cubs
to go to the World Series, too. 1A coaches
and players are usually realists and I'm
convinced they'd admit there isn't anyone in
the DAC they could beat on their best day.
Kouts continues to coast through a fairly
soft schedule beating struggling teams like
North White (3-12), Hebron (4-13) and
LaCrosse (1-15). The Fillies are 10-0
against Class 1A teams and, considering
their lack of size and physical strength,
they have overachieved and that is to their
credit. Jeanette Keller (16.0 ppg., 2.8
assists, 26 3-point goals) and Ann Marie
Keller (18 3-point goals) have led a
productive offense, but what game prepares
them for certain regional foe Oregon-Davis
(19-0)?
WHAT DO THEY WANT? They need Oregon-Davis
to close before next month.
Kouts hosts a
five-team sectional with no one else who has
a wining record. It will be hard to lose and
they probably want to play three times so
they can get three wins. But they need to be
working on a four-corner-type stall for
Oregon-Davis because the Fillies cannot
press O-D and they cannot zone them.
3A) Calumet (15-3)
2007 (13-8), 2006 (5-16), 2005 (7-15), 2004
(16-10)
GARY: As I'm writing
this, Calumet is not yet 15-3, but they will
be by the time you read it. Soph Juaniece
Jackson (16.5 ppg,) and senior Aiesha Walker
(13.1) were prohibitive favorites in the
first Greater South Shore Conference (GSSC)
tournament, which finished up at Calumet high
school Saturday. The Warrior women will
almost certainly be 17-3 going to Griffith
(14-3) on Jan. 31.
What this extra category is often for is the
teams that are doing that have overachieved. Back in November, I'd have said that Sean Hannity would be elected president before
Calumet would win 20 games. There must be
10 players here under 5-foot-6.
There is an outside chance that Calumet wins
20 games, an unprecedented feat. This extra
bracket often attracts teams that have done
everything that could reasonably be asked of
them. To this point, Kouts and Calumet
certainly fall into that category.
WHAT DO THEY WANT: Like Griffith, the
Warriors desperately need a first round bye
so they don't have to drive an hour south to
Rensselaer on a Tuesday night for sectional
quarterfinal play. Calumet should consider
themselves lucky that the IHSAA didn't put
the sectional in Knox, which is 75 miles
away. The Warriors better just be worried
about how to get the whole gang to Jasper
County after school.
Out of town....
2A No. 2 Oak Hill (15-0)
24-2 (2007), 14-7
(2006), 8-13 (2005) 4-17 (2004)
CONVERSE: Converse is
basically suburban Marion in Grant County,
but Oak Hill apparently knew this team was
coming because they signed up to play some
teams above their level.
Oak Hill (18-0) has defeated 4A powers
Kokomo (10-4) and Huntington North (10-7)
and last week ran up the score 84-61 on Fort
Wayne power Elmhurst (15-2), the latter
being a first-time meeting.
You've got to get lucky if you're a coach. The 14-7 season in 2006 was Oak Hill's first
winning season in this decade. But then two
kids changed things and I'm sure fourth year
coach Todd Law (61-22) took the job knowing
what was coming. Oak Hill is led by two
sophomores, 5-6 guard Courtney Moses who
scored 24 points and grabbed 13 rebounds
against Elmhurst, and 6-foot-4 center Ashley
Pickering. Moses averages six assists a
game and Pickering shoots 65% from the floor
and averages three blocked shots a game.
The Eagles will go undefeated if they get
past one team: big neighbor 4A Marion
(14-2). That matchup at Oak Hill on Jan. 29
will be the big game of the regular season.
Oak Hill was 24-2 last season, including a
71-62 loss to Jimtown in the 2A Semistate
championship game. The only other loss all season was at
Marion.
Should either of the Class 2A Northwest
Indiana sectional champions (at Wheeler or
North Judson) team get through regional
play, they will almost certainly see Oak
Hill in the semistate championship game.
They'll need more than good luck.