Week
2 Picks: 2006 NW Indiana High School Football
A USA-365.com Special Report By Mark Smith
August
24, 2006
|
WEEK 1, 2006 Football Picks in Review: Wrong - 4; Right - 9 = 69.1% |
|
| The Pick | The Result |
| Goshen 20, Lake Central 14 | WRONG... LC 29-28 |
| Gavit 34, Hammond 14 | CORRECT... Gavit 27-20 |
| Morton 56, Clark 28 | CORRECT... Morton 40-0 |
| Hobart 42, Gary West Side 21 | CORRECT... Hobart 45-7 |
| LaPorte 27, New Prairie 14 | WRONG... New Prairie 39-33 |
| Highland 21, Wheeler 20 | CORRECT... Highland 41-18 |
| Rensselaer 27, North Newton 12 | CORRECT... Rensselaer 49-0 |
| John Glenn 20, North Judson 7 | WRONG... North Judson 17-7 |
| Portage 35, (SB) Washington 20 | CORRECT... Portage 28-0 |
| Penn - 21, Valparaiso - 14 | CORRECT... Penn 61-14 |
| CROWN POINT - 28, LOWELL - 7 | CORRECT... CROWN POINT 17-0 |
| Kankakee Valley 28, Munster 21 | WRONG... Munster 38-9 |
| ANDREAN 35, Chesterton - 34 | CORRECT... ANDREAN 22-16 |
WEEK (1) ONE
RECAP: No major surprises here except for the margin of victory in
the Penn-Valpo game. Munster looks to be stronger than they have been the
last two or three seasons and Kankakee Valley apparently just wasn't ready.
Judson gave up 252 yards and 14 first downs but they still won. A lot of
folks bought into the Chesterton hype. They may yet be good, but you've got to
finish. You can never tell anything about Morton until they stop playing
Hammond schools. LC's one point come-from-behind win is major for them,
but it hid the fact that they gave up 275 totals yards and 16 first downs.
Crown Point won even though they had a bad game and Andrean won what should be
an inspiring game for them.
BIGGEST WINNER - WEEK ONE: New Prairie. To beat your
neighbor and big school rival is a great start. The Cougars again appear
to have the offensive line to control games. When you get 48 carries, 269
yards and 6 TDs in one game against a DAC team that know you can't throw (only 4
pass attempts), you can most definitely run the football.
WEEK 1 (2006) PIX recap
WEEK
1: 9 of 13 = 69.1%
2005 (final) OVERALL: 170 of 233 = 72.9%
Northwest
Indiana
WEEK 2 (TWO) PICKS, 8-25-2006
(8-25-2006)
School is finally open and most boys actually go to class before the
second game of the season. But the intense heat will ride the boys again
in late August. Near 90 degrees for Friday, August 25. Anybody who
tells you it doesn't matter needs to come down to the sidelines and feel how
warm it is at sea level. A lot of QBs (Blake Mascarello - CP, Alex
Beierwalter - Chesterton) had problems throwing the ball in the high humidity
and that may not change this Friday. In the interest of accuracy, all-stater
Bobby Cira of Concord was 10 of 21 for 259 yards and PJ Gbur of Lake Central was
19 of 27 for 268 yards. But the conditions are still a factor and if will
affect the outcomes.
The Gary teachers' strike is on and that means all four Gary schools cannot
play. West Side and Lew Wallace play Illinois foes so those games will
just be forgotten. But Wirt was to play Munster and Roosevelt to play
Valparaiso. If the strike is still on Friday, word is that Valparaiso will
play Munster for the first time in 18 years. Munster played Valparaiso
every season from 1974 to 1988 and lost just eight of 15. The big game
state wide is No. 2 Penn and No. 5 Ben Davis. And I don't know if Class 8A
No. 6 (Wilmette, Illinois) Maine South knows exactly what they're getting when
they signed up to Host 5A Indiana No. 1 Warren Central Friday. Long run
weather forecasts show that the temperatures might slip below the dangerous
level by Sept. 1. What about this week? Get out there and suffer
like the rest of us.
Others will pick the lopsided slaughters like Lowell-Calumet or East
Chicago-Lake Central but I will let those two games pass. Let the winners win,
the losers drink lots of water and we'll see you all in September.
River Forest 28, Lake Station 27
LAKE STATION - What they affectionately call the 'Hillbilly Super Bowl' takes place Friday at Lake Station between two schools that should always be in the same league. Both team were crushed by other 1A schools in week one and the River Forest coach, Dave Blevins said his team quit in the miserable conditions in a 41-8 loss to Whiting. Lake Station got beat 36-8 at Monon against North White, but they are also better than that. RF and QB Michael Perkins are better than they showed, but they're going to have to outscore Lake Station. I'd pay to see this one.
Kankakee Valley 23,
Rensselaer 20
DeMOTTE - KV was very disappointing last week completing 1-of-7 passes
in a 38-9 loss at Munster. Rensselaer laughed off North Newton 61-0 .
But this is not the same Rensselaer squad that beat KV 37-2 last season and this
is the same KV team. The Kougars were overmatched against a surprising Munster
squad. If KV is not injured, they'll pull off the upset here.
Knox 24, North Judson 21
NORTH JUDSON - Knox, which was 3-7 last year (and 0-10 in 2004) hammered Winamac 40-0 last week as QB Cody Binkley completed 10-of-21 passes for 231 yards. Judson gave up 252 yards against Glenn, but won anyway 17-7. Judson consistently beats Knox, but in good weather, it will be very hard this time. I don't know if Judson is ready for this new school of hard Knox.
Wheeler 30, North Newton 6
MOROCCO - The Spartans got taken out back and whipped 61-0 last week
by Rensselaer while Wheeler was smoked out 41-18 at Highland. I think
Wheeler just got off to a bad start while North Newton is starting to resemble
the White Sox and Red Sox who go down when the first hard wind blows. This
won't be close.
Portage 21, (South Bend) St. Joseph's 14
SOUTH BEND - The hardest game of the week to pick as Portage looked very good in blanking Washington 28-0 in week one while St. Joseph's got four TDs of 30 yards in length or more to upset 5A Mishawaka 26-19. St. Joe speedy back Wes Chamblee (5-11, 155) scored from 48, 76 and 85 yards away. Portage has to contain him and, eventually, they will.
(South Bend) St. Joseph's 20, Michigan City 16
SOUTH BEND - The new-look Wolves take on Clay, a 28-21 winner over Adams last week. Clay gave up 313 yards and 225 on the ground. But Michigan City gave up 20 points to a Roosevelt team that's not strong. Watch out for Clay freshman Danny Smith (6-2, 180), who caught a 61-yard touchdown pass in the first minute of his first high school football game.
Clark 27, Hammond 20
HAMMOND - The second week of Hammond 'pool play' sees a Hammond team that was competitive after a 1-10 year in 2005 taking on a Clark squad that got smoked out 40-0 by Morton. Clark needs time to throw the ball and they'll get it against Hammond. Another high point game due to lack of depth and heat conditions.
Andrean 35, Bishop Noll 14
MERRILLVILLE - Bishop Noll coasted past Wirt 35-0 in week one, but they only gained a reported 225 yards. How does that translate against a 59er squad that shut out 5A Chesterton in the second half? If Chesterton got 35 yards rushing on Andrean, how many yards will Noll gain even with junior Tony Hollingsworth (18 carries, 100 yards last week)? Folks seem to be waiting for Andrean to fall. Kinda like the White Sox are waiting for the Tigers to let them win a few. How's that working for them?
(South Bend) Riley 31, Whiting 16
SOUTH BEND - The 41-8 Whiting win over River Forest was a mirage. Riley gained 273 yards rushing in a 14-12 loss to Park Tudor and lost because they missed two conversions. Riding in a bus two hours in 90 degree heat and trying to play is like asking your boiled egg to jump off the plate and drive you to school.
Morton 34, Gavit 24
HAMMOND - Morton coasted against Clark and they'll meet only slightly more
resistance here. Gavit can win if they commit to running 1,800-yard (in
2005) halfback Victor Ayala, who gained only 47 yards on 14 carries last week.
But the Glads may not have the line to run here. You cant beat Morton by
challenging them to a passing contest.
Elkhart Central 31, LaPorte 26
LaPORTE - The second toughest game to pick in week two. LaPorte was outscored 39-6 in the first half against New Prairie, but they won the second half 27-0 so who knows about them? Elkhart Central gave up a late TD in the final minute to lose to arch-rival Memorial 21-14 in the Elkhart civil war. Central throws the ball all over the place, but they probably can't stop LaPorte HB Airrence Shark. Lots of points here, but the Elkhart boys have more experience.
New Prairie 28, (South Bend)
Washington 14
SOUTH BEND - Washington took a 28-0 whipping from Portage last week
and they'll be let go faster than Tom Cruise if they can't figure out how to
handle the 290-pound offensive tackles and slippery veer offense running backs
of New Prairie. Washington has too many good athletes to get shut out
again. But it's very hard to prepare for the Cougars who returned 16
starters from last year's squad. If you want to jump on a 3A bandwagon
this season, it's loading now for the 'Little Team on the Prairie'.
Griffith 41, Chesterton 30
GRIFFITH - Chesterton matches up well against Griffith because they can
exploit the Panthers' supposed weakness in the secondary. But the Trojans
can't (or won't) run the ball and they may wear down in the heat.
Chesterton runs the option at lower levels and they won't be lost against
Griffith. But, as the points fly, it will come back to the fact that
Griffith can run the ball and Chesterton can't.
Crown Point 38, Hobart 20
HOBART - The Brickies' multiple offense meets the Crown Point defense, which
shut out Lowell in week one. There's also the match up of top wide
receivers in Matt Ernest of Crown Point and Bobby James of Hobart. Both
QBs have experience and both sides are loaded at running back. You can
stay home and watch another boring pro exhibition game where the Bears do
nothing and whine about it all weekend or you can see real football here.
Hobart is playing without two starters, so the edge goes to the CP defense,
after a racehorse first half.
Merrillville 42, Highland 7
MERRILLVILLE - Highland got the whipping stick out on Wheeler last week, but
this is not Wheeler. Merrillville held East Chicago to just 36 total yards
and they'll be watching tapes of Highland rolling up the yards all week long.
Merrillville has played without two starters so far and both could be back.
Highland has to run the ball and shorten the game. But they'll have
trouble winning a short game, too. There's a difference between Highland's
Lake Athletic Conference and Merrillville's Duneland Athletic Conference.