Week
Six Picks: NW Indiana High School Football
-
by Mark Smith
|
WEEK Five (5) Predictions: Wrong - 1; Right - 12 |
|
| The Pick | The Result |
| Munster 24, Griffith 16 | Griffith 14-3 |
| Lake Central 52, East Chicago 21 | LC 22-0 |
| Valparaiso 42, Chesterton 21 | Valparaiso 17-10 |
| Portage 31, CP 17 | Portage 19-15 |
| Gary Roosevelt 47, Wirt 36 | Gary Roosevelt 18-14 |
| Rensselaer 28, Kankakee Valley 14 | Rensselaer 55-6 |
| Wheeler 21, River Forest 12 | Wheeler 30-0 |
| Jimtown 35, New Prairie 14 | Jimtown 17-7 |
| Bishop Noll 20, Clark 8 | Bishop Noll 14-0 |
| Lowell 34, Hammond 27 | Lowell 42-21 |
| Whiting 33, Lake Station 16 | Whiting 35-12 |
| LaPorte 16, Hobart 7 | LaPorte 14-10 |
| Merrillville 26, Michigan City 0 | Merrillville 35-0 |
| Week 5: 12 of 13 = 92.3% | Season: 46 of 59 = 77.9% |
ANALYSIS: Griffith threw a lot of people off with an inexplicable 10-0 loss to Hobart in week two. If you throw that game out, the Panthers have been strong in every game.
Elsewhere,
rainy, wet conditions held down the scoring in week five. There should've been
32 points in one quarter of Roosevelt and Wirt. Michigan City has been
shut out three weeks in a row. There were no surprises last week.
WEEK
SIX: The biggest game matches undefeated Portage (5-0) and
once-beaten Chesterton. The Trojans were very effective against Valparaiso last
week in a 17-10 loss. Spencer West (6-2, 295) sacked Valpo QB Jason Renn three
times and the Trojans were able to hold Valpo to just 17 points. Chesterton ha
hit an offensive slump. In their last 10 regular quarters, the Trojans have
scored only 17 points. But Chesterton may get injured QB Ryan Kelley back
in the lineup after he missed the Valpo game. But the Trojans weren't an
offensive machine against good teams with Kelley. Portage missed DAC
leading WR Milton Rivera (20 catches - 186 yards) against Crown Point and it's
not known if he'll be back this week. Also, top place-kicker Steve Vaught has
not kicked for the last two weeks, although he has played. The Indians could be
upset here if they are still shorthanded. The Portage pass defense gave up 250
yards last week against Crown Point but Chesterton is a power team with 1,298
yards rushing in five games.
WHAT WILL HAPPEN: Portage was tested for the second consecutive week and passed, rallying to win at Crown Point. The light-but-quick Indians defense has give up 550 yards in the last two weeks. The quickness of the Indians on offense will be difficult for Chesterton to handle if the field is dry. The Trojans defense will score a TD but they can't line up and run over Portage. And Chesterton can't handle the Indians' offense if Vaught and Rivera are at full strength.
Portage
27, Chesterton 10
Other WEEK
SIX (6) games
The prohibitive favorites are Morton over Calumet, Rensselaer over West Lafayette, Wirt over Horace Mann and Munster over Hammond. Naming a score would only embarrass the downtrodden in these games.
Wheeler (3-2) 30, Bishop Noll (3-2) 22
A
hard one to figure. The Bears Cats are a high-scoring team (30.6 ppg.) and
they'll end up outscoring the improving Warriors.
North Judson
(5-0) 31, Kankakee Valley (3-2) 6
A
mismatch. KV can't stop Judson running the ball.
River
Forest (1-4) 20, North Newton (1-4) 14
RF's
only win was over Lake Station (1-4) while Newton's only win was against Calumet
(1-4). I think RF has more speed.
East
Chicago (0-5) 28, St. Francis DeSales (1-3) 20
The
Cardinals shut out Lake Central in the second half last week. They're getting
better and an average Hammond team bombed DeSales.
Clark (1-4)
20, Lake Station (1-4) 8
It
will be very difficult for the Eagles to score. Clark is a respectable defensive
team.
Lake
Central (2-3) 16, Huntington North (2-3) 14
Huntington
North has a win over Class 1A Lafayette Catholic but, like LC, they've won their
last two. This is a strength-of-schedule pick.
Gavit (0-5)
28, Whiting (2-3) 26
Gavit's
got to win sometime. A chilly night will limit Whiting's passing just enough.
It's an upset but Gavit shouldn't be 0-5.
Griffith
(3-2) 28, Lowell (3-2) 17
The
Panthers have three good running backs and improving Lowell is 0-2 on the road
and still fumbles too much.
LaPorte
(3-2) 13, Merrillville (2-3) 8
The
area's traditional defensive powerhouses will keep the score down on a cold
night. The Pirates, with a sophomore QB, won't be able to rally.
Andrean
(5-0) 27, Highland (4-1) 17
The
59ers didn't help them selves by playing Horace Mann (0-5) last week but
Highland's schedule is suspect so far with Calumet and Hammond. They should've
beaten shorthanded Lowell by more than 10 points.
Valparaiso
(4-1) 34, Crown Point (4-1) 21
Both
teams will have defensive problems on a dry field but the VHS boys are at home
and more experienced.